A recent opinion poll indicates a continued shift in German voter preferences, with the Alternative for Germany (AfD) now surpassing the traditional center-right bloc of the Christian Democratic Union (CDU) and Christian Social Union (CSU). According to a trend analysis conducted by the Institute for Opinion Research (Insa), reported by Bild newspaper, the AfD currently holds 26 percent of the vote.
This represents a slight increase of 0.5 percentage points compared to the previous week. The CDU/CSU alliance, meanwhile, has experienced a decline, now standing at 24.5 percent, a decrease of one percentage point. The Social Democratic Party (SPD) remains at 14.5 percent. Combined, the CDU/CSU and SPD now account for 39 percent of the electorate.
The Green Party holds steady at 11 percent, while the Left Party has seen modest growth, now at 11.5 percent. Both the BSW and the Free Democratic Party (FDP) are currently polling below the 5% threshold, at 4% and 3.5% respectively.
Hermann Binkert, head of Insa, noted the challenge facing CDU leader Friedrich Merz in reversing the current trend, contrasting this with the perceived difficulties faced by Chancellor Olaf Scholz. The poll, commissioned by Bild, surveyed 2,002 German citizens between September 19th and 22nd, 2024.
