Voter sentiment is shifting modestly toward the CDU/CSU and SPD. In the current Insa opinion trend reported by Bild on its Monday edition, the Union has 26 percent and the SPD 15.5 percent-each a one‑point rise from the previous week.
The AfD remains unchanged at 26 percent as well, marking the first time in roughly a quarter‑year that it is tied with the Union. The Greens keep their 11.5 percent, the Left falls half a point to 10 percent, the BSW drops 0.5 points to 4 percent, and the FDP loses a full point, sitting at 3 percent and well below the five‑percent threshold.
Together, the CDU/CSU and SPD would secure 41.5 percent, still short of a sole majority. Even a coalition of SPD, Greens and Left would only reach 37 percent, below the required threshold. Thus, the Union and SPD would need a third partner-such as the Greens or the Left-to achieve majority control.
Insa chief Hermann Binkert, speaking to Bild, noted: “The Union and AfD are tied in voter favor. When it comes to desired election outcomes, the Union is ahead. Almost every second person wants the Union to lead or co‑govern; only about every third person prefers the AfD”.
The survey covered 2,006 eligible voters from 30 January to 2 February 2026.
