Recent polling data indicates a continued lead for the conservative bloc, comprising the CDU and CSU, in terms of voter preference. The latest ZDF-Politikbarometer, conducted by the research group Wahlen, places their support at 27 percent, remaining unchanged. The Alternative for Germany (AfD) sees a slight decline, registering 23 percent – a decrease of one percentage point.
The Social Democratic Party (SPD) maintains its position at 15 percent, while the Green Party experiences a one-percentage point increase, reaching 12 percent. The Left party remains steady at 11 percent. Both the BSW and the Free Democratic Party (FDP) continue to garner 3 percent support each. Collectively, other parties account for 6 percent of voter preference, with no single party achieving at least 3 percent. Based on these figures, a black-red coalition – a potential alliance between the CDU/CSU and SPD – would not currently command a parliamentary majority.
The polling also suggests growing reservations regarding the functionality of the current governing coalition. After 100 days in power, only 32 percent of Germans believe the CDU/CSU and SPD are working together effectively. A significant 61 percent, including 41 percent of Union supporters and 47 percent of SPD voters, express doubts about their collaboration. This marks a shift from early May, shortly before the start of the new government, when a narrow majority (51 percent) anticipated a positive working relationship within the coalition.
The data was gathered between August 11th and 13th, 2025, through telephone and online surveys conducted with a randomly selected sample of 1,370 eligible voters.
