CDU leads NRW despite losses as AfD surges past SPD and Greens overtake Social Democrats in Infratest poll
Mixed

CDU leads NRW despite losses as AfD surges past SPD and Greens overtake Social Democrats in Infratest poll

In the voter preference measured by Infatest for North Rhine-Westphalia, the CDU, led by Minister-President Hendrik Wüst, remains clearly in the lead despite losses. The survey created for the WDR magazine Westpol shows the CDU at 30 percent (down 2 percentage points compared to June).

The second strongest party is the AfD at 18 percent (up 1 percentage point). This marks a new high for the party, and is the first time it has surpassed the SPD in the NRW trend. The Greens are up 2 percentage points, reaching 17 percent, and would be the third strongest party. With this result, they surpass the SPD for the first time since 2021. The SPD itself drops to 16 percent (down 1 percentage point). This is the lowest value recorded for the SPD in the NRW trend so far: in June 2025. Consequently, the Social Democrats would only be the fourth strongest party in the state parliament for the first time.

As the fifth party, the Left Party would return to parliament at 7 percent (up 1 percentage point), taking the spot from the FDP, which would fail to clear the five percent threshold at only 3 percent (down 2 percentage points). The BSW would also miss entering the Düsseldorf State Parliament with 3 percent. All other parties combined account for 6 percent (down 2 percentage points).

For the NRW trend, Infatest surveyed a total of 1,173 eligible voters via telephone (677) and online (496) between November 9 and 12, 2026.