00 predictions from ARD and ZDF.. On average, the Christian Democrats secured 30.5 % of the vote, ahead of the SPD with 26.8 %. The AfD trailed just behind with an average of 20.0 %, while the Greens came in fourth at 8.0 %. The FDP (2.1 %) and the Free Voters (3.8 %) failed to enter the state parliament. The Left also missed the 5 % threshold, garnering only 4.5 %, and the “Others” category averaged 4.5 % together.
These figures are based on post‑election surveys carried out by Infratest (for ARD) and the Forschungsgruppe Wahlen (for ZDF) on Sunday at the polling stations.
