This represents a reduction from Agora’s previous 2024 projection of 727 TWh
The revised forecast suggests a higher demand than currently anticipated by the Federal Ministry for Economic Affairs and Climate Action (BMWK) in its upcoming Energy Monitoring report, scheduled for release shortly Minister for Economic Affairs Katherina Reiche recently indicated expectations of around 650 TWh by 2030 and the forthcoming monitoring report is expected to align with this estimate
This adjustment brings Agora’s projections closer to Minister Reiche’s figures, contrasting with the earlier, considerably higher forecast of around 750 TWh made by her predecessor, Robert Habeck According to Philipp Godron, Program Director of Electricity at Agora Energiewende and author of the analysis, the downward revision is based on recent developments He stated that the previously observed slower pace of electrification across transport, buildings and industry is now projected to persist, preventing a full recovery in demand growth
