The Alternative for Germany (AfD) continues to solidify its position as the leading political force in the country, extending its lead over the traditionally dominant Christian Democratic Union/Christian Social Union (CDU/CSU) bloc according to a new poll released Tuesday. The Insa survey, commissioned by “Bild” newspaper, indicates that the AfD would garner 26.5% of the vote if a federal election were held this Sunday, a half-point increase from the previous week.
This gain comes as the CDU/CSU suffers a concurrent decline, falling to 24.5% – a worrying trend for the established conservative parties. Combined with the Social Democratic Party’s (SPD) continued slide to 14.5%, the current governing coalition, often referred to as “black-red” (referring to the CDU/CSU’s black and the SPD’s red colors), now commands only 39% public support. This represents a dwindling mandate for a government grappling with persistent economic anxieties.
“The AfD is establishing a significant advantage, recording the highest level of support we have ever measured for the party” stated Hermann Binkert, head of Insa, in comments to “Bild”. He attributes the party’s success, in part, to a widespread perception among voters that the current government lacks the competence to address Germany’s economic challenges.
The survey, conducted between October 2nd and 6th, 2025, polled 2,010 citizens and underscores a deepening disconnect between the electorate and the established political order. The data reveals a growing sentiment of disillusionment and a willingness to consider alternatives, potentially reshaping the landscape of German politics and raising critical questions about the viability of the current governing alliance. The continued ascent of the AfD, coupled with the CDU/CSU’s struggles, signals a period of heightened political uncertainty and demands a careful examination of the underlying drivers of voter behavior.