Recent polling data indicates a slight shift in voter sentiment following the Social Democratic Party’s (SPD) recent federal party conference and the election of new leadership. According to a trend analysis conducted by the Institute for Opinion Research (Insa), commissioned by “Bild”, the SPD has seen a fractional decline in support.
Were a federal election to occur this coming Sunday, the SPD would currently garner 15.5% of the vote, a decrease of 0.5 percentage points compared to the previous week’s results.
Conversely, the Christian Democratic Union (CDU) and Christian Social Union (CSU) bloc has gained 0.5 percentage points, now standing at 27.5%. Both the Alternative for Germany (AfD), registering at 23.5% and the newly formed BSW party, at 5%, have also experienced a slight increase of 0.5 percentage points each. The Left party, with 9.5% and the Free Democratic Party (FDP), with 3.5%, have each registered a decrease of 0.5 percentage points. The Green party maintained its previous week’s result, holding steady at 11.5%.
“Without the AfD, only three-way coalitions would lead to majorities” stated Hermann Binkert, head of Insa, in comments to “Bild”. He emphasized the CDU/CSU’s position as the leading party, while noting that the Union faces potential competition from the FDP, AfD and SPD – each of which could draw significant support away from the CDU/CSU.
The poll, conducted between June 27th and June 30th, surveyed a total of 2,008 citizens.
