According to an analysis conducted by the non-governmental organization Transport & Environment (T&E)-reported by Spiegel-electric vehicles are likely to capture a slower market share than previously expected if the policies proposed by the Union and SPD are adopted. The organization’s forecast predicts that the market share for e-cars will fall between 53 and 76 percent of all sales by 2035. This figure is a significant reduction compared to the initial proposal from the EU Commission, which projected an 85 percent share.
The compromises made by the ruling coalition complicate the phase-out plan. Specifically, the arrangement proposes classifying combustion engines that run on biofuels or e-fuels as “zero-emission vehicles”. Furthermore, the coalition intends to maintain generous CO₂ emission assumptions for plug-in hybrids. This continues despite anonymized usage data demonstrating that these hybrid vehicles consume significantly more fuel than currently accounted for. Consequently, these concessions could allow the auto industry to continue selling a mix of combustion and hybrid cars while still appearing to comply with emissions standards. T&E criticizes these decisions, arguing that the coalition is moving away from the established global market trend toward fully electric mobility.
