With the election for the Berlin House of Representatives less than four weeks away, a survey conducted by the Forsa Institute shows that the Left Party is currently leading with 22 percent of the vote. T-Online reported on the findings from the poll it commissioned.
The currently governing Christian Democratic Union (CDU) tied for second place with the Alternative for Germany (AfD), both securing 18 percent. Behind them, the Green Party holds 16 percent. The Social Democratic Party (SPD), which is also currently in government, ranks fifth in the Forsa survey with 12 percent.
The BSW and FDP would not enter the Berlin state parliament with 4 and 3 percent, respectively. Other parties combined account for 7 percent of the vote.
Due to the 5 percent threshold required to enter parliament, and given that 14 percent of the votes in the survey are deemed invalid, the maximum possible absolute majority is theoretically around 44 percent. However, this majority cannot be reached through a two-party alliance.
A Red-Green-Red coalition, comprising the Left Party, the Greens, and the SPD, could achieve an absolute majority with 50 percent of the vote. Alternatively, a black-green-red coalition led by the CDU could reach 46 percent, which is also numerically sufficient.
Furthermore, the coalition of the Left Party, the Greens, and the SPD is also the most popular governing alliance in the poll, garnering 37 percent of respondents. Nineteen percent favor a coalition between the CDU and AfD, although this alliance would lack both a majority and practical political viability. Only 13 percent wish for the continuation of the current governing arrangement between the CDU and SPD, and even fewer, 9 percent, want a coalition between the CDU, SPD, and Greens.
The Forsa Institute surveyed 1,535 individuals between August 4th and August 18th for this voting intent survey.
