Jürgen Hardt, the foreign policy spokesperson for the CDU/CSU parliamentary group, stated that a change of leadership in Iran is highly unlikely at this time. Speaking to RTL and ntv, he indicated that while regime change was improbable, he thought the current government could learn from recent events. According to Hardt, the regime’s aggressive stance toward neighboring countries, its pursuit of nuclear armament, and its support for terror in the region are actions that could lead it to collapse and necessitate a change in leadership. However, Hardt also suggested a scenario where Israel and the United States might accept the continued rule of the Mullahs and the government they support, provided the Iranian regime agreed to certain conditions. These conditions would require Iran to abandon its nuclear and missile programs and to open up the Strait of Hormuz. Hardt suggested that two things could motivate Iran to adopt this path: first, the guarantee of remaining in power, and second, the potential for significant sanctions relief, which would allow Iran to export oil massively. This increased oil supply could create a market surplus from which both sides could benefit, leading Hardt to conclude that a path of negotiation is indeed possible.
Politics
