AfD Leads Polling, Union Loses Ground, and Government Approval Plummets to Lowest Point in Years
Politics

AfD Leads Polling, Union Loses Ground, and Government Approval Plummets to Lowest Point in Years

According to polling data from Infratest, the Alternative for Germany (AfD) is leading the national political mood, marking the first time this party has done so in the pollster’s measurements. If a federal election were held this Sunday, the AfD would garner 27% of the vote, which is two percentage points higher than the poll’s measurement taken in early April. Meanwhile, the Christian Democratic Union (CDU) benches, which represents the right-center coalition, have lost two points over the same period, currently standing at 24%.

Examining the full party landscape, the SPD is at 12% (stable), the Greens are at 15% (up 1 point), and the Left Party remains unchanged at 10%. The BSW registers at 3% (stable), and the FDP has seen a slight gain to 4% (+1). All remaining parties combined account for 5% (-2).

Overall government satisfaction remains low for the governing CDU/SPD coalition. Satisfaction was measured at a moderate 40% in May 2025, but a year later, the figure has dropped to a low of 13% who are satisfied or very satisfied. A substantial 86% of respondents reported feeling less or entirely dissatisfied with the government. This decline represents a historically low point for the CDU/SPD government in the Infratest-developed “Deutschlandtrend” since 1997. The value has only been lower for other governments during measurements of Red-Green in November 2003 and March 2004 (both at 11% satisfaction), and Black-Yellow in June 2010 (12%).

Focusing on ministerial performance, Defense Minister Boris Pistorius (SPD) received the highest rating among cabinet members. Currently, 56% of respondents are satisfied with his work (+7 compared to April), while 32% are dissatisfied (-4). Internal Minister Alexander Dobrindt (CSU) trails slightly, with 25% satisfied or very satisfied (-3 compared to March), and 51% feeling less or completely dissatisfied (-1).

In other areas, Deputy Chancellor Lars Klingbeil (SPD) has a satisfaction rating of 21% (+3 compared to April), though 64% are dissatisfied (-3). Working Minister Bärbel Bas (SPD) achieved 18% satisfaction (+3), yet 54% signaled dissatisfaction (-3). However, the political work of Chancellor Friedrich Merz (CDU) recorded the worst figure ever measured for a sitting German chancellor in the “Deutschlandtrend” with only 16% satisfied (-5) and a high of 83% dissatisfied (+7).

Among the opposition, AfD leader Alice Weidel achieved 26% satisfaction (+1 compared to March), while 64% were dissatisfied (-1). The Greens’ party leader, Franziska Brantner, scored 12% satisfaction (stable), but notably, 59% declined to give an opinion or stated they did not know. The poll also revealed high uncertainty: with the Left Party’s leader, Ines Schwerdtner, only 7% of respondents were satisfied, 21% were dissatisfied, but 72% were unable to form an opinion or stated they did not know.

The data was collected via 1,303 voters surveyed by Infratest between Monday and Wednesday of the week.