The Union (CDU/CSU) has seen a slight increase in voter support according to Forsa’s measurements. In a weekly poll conducted for the broadcasters RTL and ntv, its support rose by one percentage point, reaching 22%. Despite this minor rise, the Union remains barely above its long-term low of 21%. Meanwhile, the AfD maintains its position as the leading force with an unchanged 27% share.
The FDP, by contrast, lost one percentage point and has fallen back below the crucial five-percentage-point threshold, currently holding only 4%. This temporary surge following Wolfgang Kubicki’s election as party chairman has, for now, evaporated. The results for all other parties remained stable compared to the previous week: the Greens stand at 15%, the SPD at 12%, The Left at 11%, and the BSW at 3%. Notably, there is a high number of non-voters and undecided individuals, currently accounted for by 25%. This figure is significantly higher than the percentage of non-voters seen in the 2025 federal election, meaning a quarter of eligible voters remain politically unaligned.
These current polling figures, however, only capture a fraction of the parties’ true electoral potential. Roughly 45% of voters currently envision themselves supporting either the Union or the SPD in a federal election. Similarly, the Greens hold considerable unseen potential, with 39% of voters ready to support them, far exceeding their present polling numbers. Furthermore, about 30% of voters could potentially support The Left or even the FDP. This means both parties possess several times their current actual vote share in latent support.
The situation is markedly different for the AfD. While about 20% of voters currently support the party, its total latent potential is only 28%. Consequently, the AfD holds significantly fewer additional mobilization reserves compared to the other major parties. Unlike voters for other groups who are generally open to alternative political offerings, only 8% of those who do not currently vote for the AfD could imagine supporting it in the future.
When queried about which party is best equipped to handle Germany’s problems, the Union and AfD are tied, each receiving 13% of the belief in superior political competence. The AfD lost one percentage point compared to the preceding week. The Greens follow with 7%, while the SPD and The Left are tied at 5%. Overall, trust in political parties remains low; 54% of citizens currently do not believe any party can effectively solve the country’s issues, a figure that has slightly increased from the previous week.
Satisfaction with the work of Chancellor Friedrich Merz (CDU) remains stagnant at a low level. Only 14% of the German public is satisfied with his performance, while 84% view his work critically-a decrease of one percentage point from last week. Even among Union supporters, approval is relatively modest at 48%. Merz’s work receives little approval among supporters of the SPD (16%), the Greens (10%), The Left (3%), and the AfD (3%).
Economically, German expectations remain strongly negative. Currently, only 13% anticipate an improvement in Germany’s financial situation. In contrast, 63% expect the economic situation to worsen, while 20% project stable developments. Although the economic mood showed a slight improvement compared to the previous week, pessimism remains high overall.
The data on party preferences, chancellor satisfaction, and economic forecasts were collected between June 16 and June 22, 2026, from a base of 2,504 respondents. A separate poll of 1,004 individuals assessed political competence.
