In a poll conducted by the Ipsos Institute, which was published on Thursday, there has been little change in the political landscape as the parliamentary summer recess approaches. Should a federal election take place this coming Sunday, the AfD would emerge with 27 percent of the vote (+1) and would retain its position as the leading political force.
The Union holds steady at 23 percent. The Greens also remain at 14 percent, continuing to lead the SPD, which is stable at 13 percent. The Left Party likewise maintains its level at 12 percent. The Free Democratic Party (FDP) is unchanged at 4 percent, remaining below the five-percent threshold even after Wolfgang Kubicki was elected party chairman. Likewise, the BSW stagnates at 3 percent and would fail to gain entry into the Bundestag. All other parties combined account for only 4 percent, representing a slight loss of support.
In addition to polling on the Sunday question, Ipsos also surveyed public satisfaction with Chancellor Friedrich Merz and the governing coalition of the CDU/CSU and SPD. The percentage of people satisfied with Chancellor Merz has dropped by three percentage points compared to the previous month, now standing at 15 percent. The government itself is also viewed positively by only a minority, but remains stable at a low level, with 17 percent of Germans reporting satisfaction with the work of the federal government.
Ipsos sampled 1,000 eligible voters across Germany between June 5th and 7th. The results have been weighted according to age, gender, education, region, and voting behavior in the last Bundestag election.
