In the latest Forsa poll for RTL and ntv, the governing coalition – the Union (CDU/CSU) – remains only marginally ahead of the AfD. The Union holds 26 % of voter confidence, while the AfD stays steady at 24 %.
No other parties saw any change in their shares. The SPD records 14 %, the Greens 12 %, the FDP and BSW each at 3 %, and the Left at 11 %. Together, smaller parties account for 7 %. An overall 25 % of the electorate are either non‑voters or undecided, a figure noticeably higher than the non‑voter rate of 17.9 % observed in the 2025 Bundestag election.
When asked which party could best solve Germany’s problems, the Union leads with 19 % of the vote. The AfD follows at 11 %, the SPD 7 %, the Greens 6 % and the Left 5 %. Half of voters (50 %) feel that no party is capable of dealing with the country’s challenges adequately.
Satisfaction with Chancellor Friedrich Merz’s performance is low overall: 25 % of the population are satisfied and 73 % are dissatisfied. These numbers have been hovering between 23 % and 25 % for several months. Satisfaction is substantially higher among CDU/CSU supporters (65 %), while the majority of supporters of other parties express dissatisfaction-particularly AfD supporters (97 %) and Left supporters (96 %).
The data for party preference were collected from 3 to 9 March 2026, drawing from 2,502 respondents. Separate questions on political competence and satisfaction with Merz’s work were asked of 1,009 participants in the same period.
