Union Stalls in Polls Below 20%, Still Trails AfD by Seven Points
Politics

Union Stalls in Polls Below 20%, Still Trails AfD by Seven Points

In the weekly survey conducted by Forsa for RTL and ntv, the Union (CDU/CSU) remains below the 20 percent mark for the third consecutive week, standing at 19 percent. This leaves the Union seven percentage points behind the AfD, which continues to be the strongest party at 26 percent.

Meanwhile, the SPD successfully maintained its gains following the local elections in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern, holding steady at 14 percent. The Greens remain unchanged at 17 percent. The Left Party managed to gain one percentage point, reaching 12 percent, thereby recovering the loss recorded the previous week. The FDP holds its position at 4 percent, while the remainder of the parties, including the BSW, combine for 8 percent. Among all respondents, the percentage of non-voters and undecided individuals increased by one percentage point from the prior week to 25 percent. This figure is still higher than the non-voter share recorded during the 2025 federal elections, which stood at 17.9 percent.

Regarding vote defection, the Union’s previous voters are not overwhelmingly moving to the AfD. Of those who previously voted CDU or CSU in the 2025 federal election and would now no longer vote for the Union, 37 percent currently intend to abstain entirely. Fifteen percent each would switch to the SPD or the Greens. Eighteen percent would support the AfD, while two percent would opt for the Left and six percent would choose the FDP. Seven percent would vote for other parties.

Concerning the perceived capacity of parties to solve the country’s problems, 14 percent of respondents currently trust the AfD the most, an increase of one percentage point from last week. The Union remains unchanged at nine percent, while the SPD and the Greens both stand at seven percent. Six percent assign this competency to the Left Party, also marking a one-percentage-point rise. Overall, 55 percent of respondents do not trust any single party to resolve the nation’s issues.