In the week leading up to the state election in Saxony-Anhalt, the AfD is assessed by the ZDF’s “Political Barometer” as slightly weaker compared to figures from other polling institutes, yet it remains clearly positioned as the strongest party. According to the survey, the AfD is predicted to achieve 40 percent of the vote next Sunday. The CDU is projected to reach 23 percent, while the Left party stands at 13 percent. The SPD is polling at 9 percent, the Greens at 6 percent, and the FDP and BSW both register at 3 percent. The remaining parties collectively garnered 3 percent, with no single party reaching the three percent threshold.
Based on these figures, the AfD would require a coalition partner to secure an absolute legislative majority. Alternatively, a government composed of all the parties represented in parliament, excluding the AfD-meaning a coalition between the CDU, the Left, the SPD, and the Greens-would hold a majority.
When asked which candidate they would prefer for Minister-President, Sven Schulze of the CDU clearly leads Ulrich Siegmund of the AfD, with 48 percent of respondents supporting Schulze compared to Siegmund’s 32 percent (the remainder accounted for those who were undecided, did not know, or preferred neither). This notable advantage for Schulze is largely attributed to the fact that Siegmund is not preferred by the supporters of the CDU, Left, SPD, or Green parties. The survey, conducted by the Mannheimer Forschungsgruppe Wahlen for ZDF, involved 1,053 eligible voters in Saxony-Anhalt who were interviewed via telephone and online between August 25 and 27.
